subgenius wrote:MsJack wrote:...Granted, a huge portion of the church's active membership resides in Utah, so it should still be a concern....
huge portion? i would like to see the data that supports that conclusion.
According to
this site, the church claims 1,823,623 members in Utah. That's a much, much higher concentration of the church's membership than you'll find anywhere else in the world. For comparison, Idaho has about 399k members; Arizona 368k members. Mexico has 1.2 million and Brazil 1.1 million. Everything else is lower than that. In May of 2011, the church reported a total 14,131,467 members on the rolls at the end of 2010. That means roughly 13% of the church's claimed membership and 31% of the U. S. membership resides in Utah.
But I didn't just say membership; I said
active membership. Activity rates are a little harder to assess because the church doesn't publish that information. However, it's pretty well recognized that the activity rates in the United States are better than the activity rates in the rest of the world.
This page contains a round-up of estimates from sociologists about LDS activity rates.
Let's just go with Armand Mauss' estimate and assume that every state in the United States (including Utah) has a 50% activity rate and the average for countries outside the United State's is 25% (which strikes me as pretty darned generous). That means there are 5,001,219 active members in the world, and 911,807 (18%) live in Utah, with no other area in the world having so high a concentration.
Now you may not regard 18% of world active members and 31% of U. S. active members as a "huge portion," but I do.
subgenius wrote:not likely a huge concern, mainly because the cause is yet to be known, like the referenced article states, could be that women are joining faster than men (not men leaving faster than women).
Just because the cause is unknown does not mean there's no need for concern. After all, I assume that most active Mormon women in Utah would like to get married in the temple. And right now, statistically, there aren't enough active Mormon husbands for them.
subgenius wrote:The church is currently a patriarchal system. [SNIP] but the "evidence" currently supports the system in place.
Wrong. There's a
wealth of evidence showing that patriarchy is harmful to men, women, and marriage.