DrW wrote:Simon,
You seem to be a sincere individual and you really do try most of the time. I keep hoping that a little bit of the knowledge and wisdom you encounter here will rub off on you, but I am losing hope. (Or is it faith?)
Likewise, except when it concerns Mormonism. Tactics you would normally recognize as wrong or illogical are employed by you when it concerns Mormonism, like your favorite No True Scotsman fallacy. I don't know why you're so angry at the church, but I do hope it doesn't affect other areas of your life.
Science may be a broad term, but that does not mean that it is whatever you can imagine it to be. And what it is definitely not is religion.
In a way, it is. Religious belief sets out to understand the universe and our place in it. It uses personal evidence, spiritual experience, and faith to define these things.
Science also sets out to understand the universe and our place in it. It uses evidence, trial and error, and faith to define these things.
At the uppermost levels -- the levels at which one has a full understanding of both disciplines, science and religion agree 100%. I do not claim to be a scientist or to understand much about science -- that's your realm. I do claim to be a religionist, and I know much about my religion. Neither of us understand both disciplines enough to see where they agree, but the advantage I have is
faith.
With regard to your automobile accident analogy, the main thing it proves is that you really need to think a bit more about what you say before you say it.
Faith is unfounded belief and has nothing to do with whether or not I drive my car to work in the morning. I make a decision to drive my car to work in the morning based on (amazingly enough) probability.
So, you do a statistical analysis each morning? You wake up, hop on your computer and launch IBM SPSS while drinking your orange juice?
That must be very time consuming.
I understand that the rate per mile driven of fatal accidents in the US is something on the order of 1.5 per 100 million vehicle miles. Since my round trip to and from work each day is about 10 miles, the overall probability that I will be killed driving to work is exceedingly low.
Yet it still very much exists. What is the probability of having a medical emergency? What is the probability of a natural disaster? What is the probability of an asteroidal impact or other cosmologic event?
There are thousands of things that could happen to you. Do you have each of these variables in your SPSS statistical model?
My guess is that you do not. You wake up each morning with the faith and courage to carry on in this extremely dangerous world. You also have faith in the statistics that others have done, and that those statistics haven't changed. You have faith that you'll make it to work and back safely.
Evil, God , The Unknown, and Doom are all concepts associated with religion.
What?
Evil exists independent of religion or the supernatural. You're going against centuries of ethical philosophy here.
The unknown exists independent of religion or the supernatural. Are you kidding me? The universe is largely unknown, is that the product of religion? If there weren't an unknown, there would not be science.
Hell, eternal damnation, outer darkness, Armageddon, - no wonder religionists need unfounded belief. They are fed a constant diets of unfounded fear-inducing superstition.
We don't emphasize any of those things. I've never feared any of them because they weren't taught.
These fear inducing concepts (such as evil, God, doom, Armageddon, etc.) are mainly just that: superstitions. They arise from lack of knowledge (ignorance).
Oh, you mean the unknown?
If one chooses to remain ignorant of how the world works and gives up what control they might have instead to blindly follow other willfully ignorant folks who claim to be in posession of religious "truths", then one has much to fear. One needs a great deal of faith (unfounded belief) in what these uninformed leaders have said in order to overcome that fear.
So you
do perform your own statistical analysis each morning?
Or do you rely on other folks' previous analyses?
Please think about this, Simon. Doing so might help you.
Help me do what?