maklelan wrote:guy sajer wrote:maklelan wrote:guy sajer wrote:Mak has provided us with a classic example of the fallacy "generalizing from a sample size of one."
What about the fallacy of addressing an argument completely different than the one addressed by my post? An individual requested examples of blessings from tithing and I shared a couple of examples that I believe to be blessings from tithing. If you would like to turn this thread into proving that all miracles can just conveniently be classified as coincidences with one fell stroke (and I do mean fell) then I'll bow out. If you want to say "Hey, you can feel that way if you wish, but I feel differently," like a few others then I appreciate your input and we can all move on. Blessings have never been defined as something miraculous, and they do not preclude human intervention, so there's really no reason for calling me out like this.
I don't have to provide evidence that miracles can conveniently be classified as coincidencences, as I have no burden of proof on this one. You are the one claiming a cause and effect relationship between paying tithing and receipt of "blessings," which you appear to define in terms of financial security. A rather extraordinary claim, I might add.
You are, moreover, asserting a universalizable principle: paying tithing = financial security (or other forms of blessings).
Implied, moreover, by your assertion is that those who pay tithing enjoy, at the margin, greater financial security (or blessings) than those who do not.
I am pointing out in reply that:
1. There exist sufficient counterexamples to your first assertion to demontrate convincingly that paying tithing does not equal financial security. There is no systematic evidence in support of this assertion and plenty of evidence against it.
2. There exist sufficient counterexamples to demonstrate convincingly that paying tithing does not, at the margin, produce greater financial security relative to not paying tithing.
Your assertion is based on a set of cherry picked anecdotes, which a more careful observation of the world would quickly reveal are anything but representative of the common human experience.
Belief that tithing = blessings may be good faith, but it is lousy empiricism.
I don't have to demonstrate that the "blessing" you observe are coincidences, you have to demonstrate they are actually blessings.
This you have not done, nor can you do it.
Placing myself outside of the Mormon experience, I can see them for what they most likely are: fortuitous coincidences, which happen millions of times a day to millions of people. The law of averages and common sense tell us that this is most likely the case.
Do you believe that blessings are real or are they just imagined?
Since I do not believe in God, it would be inconsistent for me to believe in "blessings."
I am not sure I'd use the word "imagined" in all cases (in some cases it is undoubtedly appropriate). People are by and large poor empiricists, and they tend to rely on unrepresentative anecdotes that they carefully screen out to support previously arrived at conclusions. This is not a criticism as much as an observation of human nature. (I certainly am not immune to this trait.)
I do, however, believe in fortuitous coincidences.
The ring tone on my cell phone is “Take on Me” by Ah-Ha (I’m an 80’s geek). A couple years back I was driving up to the ski resort with my daughter. The song Take on Me started playing on the radio, and at that precise moment, my phone rang; opening instrumental stanza of Take on Me on my cell phone was perfectly synchronized with the opening instrumental stanza on the radio.
A one in a million coincidence. It’ll probably never happen again in my lifetime.
Now, if this one in a million occurred to me on this day, and there are 6 billion people in the world, what are the odds that other people had one in a million occurrence that day? A little reflection would reveal that, in all likelihood, lots of people on the same day experienced one in a million coincidences. Relative to the population, one in a million occurrences on that day would be small, in absolute terms, however, they would be large—likely in the millions. More than enough to fill the grist mill of inspirational stories about the wonder of miracles.
Moreover, my guess is that most people experience a number of one-in-a-million occurrences during their lifetimes (perhaps routinely, though most will go unnoticed), some benign, some significant. The only difference is that we tend to attribute the significant ones to some divine or supernatural force. Were my experience with Ah-Ha and Take on Me more significant, and were it to happen to someone else, they would likely attribute it to God as opposed to its most likely source: mere conincidence.
I see lots of evidence that fortuitous coincidences are a common part of the human experience, but I see no corresponding evidence that otherwise seemingly fortuitous coincidences are the result of divine intervention.
I am open to evidence, although I am skeptical that it exists, and I certainly to not consider religious dogma, faith promoting stories, or personal testimony to constitute evidence.
God . . . "who mouths morals to other people and has none himself; who frowns upon crimes, yet commits them all; who created man without invitation, . . . and finally, with altogether divine obtuseness, invites this poor, abused slave to worship him ..."