EAllusion wrote:Republicans are refusing to negotiate anything important for the wall because they correctly view the wall as not important. But Trump is willing to shut down the government over it without negotiating anything of real value and Republicans are willing to walk with Trump off a cliff despite prior votes, so that's why we stand where we do.
These are all important points, especially the first one.
For the polititians involved, the pressure to end a shutdown comes from people affected by it blaming them for their pain. The gamesmanship is over trying to make sure there are more fingers being pointed at the other side than at one's own. Right now, Democrats feel the pressure is largely on Republicans because most fingers are pointed at Donald Trump or one hand pointing to Trump and the other at Pelosi. In ordinary calculus this means a win for them. The challenge is that Trump already blinked once over the national blame game. His current entrenchment isn't because he feels secure in believing he can push the blame for the shutdown onto Democrats. It's from having been stared down hard by his base with Ann Coulter at the front. He doesn't have an out and he went into it knowing he starts with all the blame so the process will only be one of more fingers pointing at both. In a sad way, time favors Trump for this reason as more people begin to act like Cam is in this thread - "Just give him what he wants, why should everyone suffer for a meaningless wall? END THE PAIN, Nancy Pelosi! Quit being stubborn!" What this is basically acknowledging is that Trump isn't going to be the adult in the room and the person with this view doesn't see any problem with giving a trantrum-throwing kid/hostage taking terrorist what they demand (<-pick which ever makes you feel best I guess) because they just want the kid to shut up/terrorist threat to go away. Of course, the short term fix means the kid/terrorist now knows they have a winning tactic to get what they want so what this actually ensures is more of the thing they wish to see stopped but hey, since when was society good at looking at the long term rather than short term consequences anyway?
So here's the thing that is being talked past - the actual Republican party is not getting fingered over this and has done a remarkable job of letting Trump take the blame. Mitch McConnell has convinced everyone that it's out of his control to do anything so long as Trump will veto any bill he doesn't authorize, so almost no one is pointing at him or the House Republicans. And right now, why should they do anything that changes that? They don't want the wall because they didn't promise it. They don't want the concessions that Democrats are likely to need to see in order to take a deal. So what leverage is there to make them do anything besides stand on the sidelines as long as the American people - and Democrat leadership - don't realize this is not a two-party blame game but atleast a three party one? And one of those parties is winning BIGGLY because they are barely getting talked about.
Democrats need to dog walk Mitch McConnell into the middle of this fight for anything to change. They don't seem to recognize this and that he's poised to claim he is the only grown-up left in the room when this gets worse.