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Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 12:03 am
by _Bob Loblaw
I'd like to hear everyone's predictions for the election. Here's my best guess.
Swing states for Obama: Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa
Swing states for Romney: North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, Colorado
Popular vote: Obama 50, Romney 49
Electoral Vote: Obama 281, Romney 257
You can make your guesses here:
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/electoral-map#
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 12:33 am
by _Yoda
My prediction:
Romney-270
Obama-268
Swing states for Obama: Ohio, Virginia
Swing states for Romney: NC, Florida, NH, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 1:30 am
by _bcspace
My prediction:
Romney-270
Obama-268
Swing states for Obama: Ohio, Virginia
Swing states for Romney: NC, Florida, NH, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado
In cases that close where Romney wins, I predict the Democrats will go to court and we will have multiple Florida 2000's all at once. I also predict the chance for mass rioting in that case will be very very high.
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 1:34 am
by _beastie
bcspace wrote:My prediction:
Romney-270
Obama-268
Swing states for Obama: Ohio, Virginia
Swing states for Romney: NC, Florida, NH, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado
In cases that close where Romney wins, I predict the Democrats will go to court and we will have multiple Florida 2000's all at once. I also predict the chance for mass rioting in that case will be very very high.
My prediction: bcspace will soon be arrested for smoking crack.
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 1:37 am
by _Bond James Bond
My OP is my opinion in the link: I think it's going to be Obama 332-206 or 303-235 (Florida one way or another).
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=23654&start=147
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 1:41 am
by _MCB
Bob is cheating. He is like me, and follows this:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/Gotcha!!
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 2:04 am
by _EAllusion
If the election swings to Romney because a very narrow margin of victory in any state or combination of states that have Republican pushed voter suppression policies in place (Colorado and Florida coming first to mind) Democrats are going to go apopletic. I think BSCspace would be right to predict a potentially serious legal fight depending on how close the margin is.
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 2:07 am
by _EAllusion
288 - 250 Obama would be my guess. But this is a particularly volatile part of the race, so it's the not the best time to be picking.
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 4:48 am
by _Droopy
bcspace wrote:My prediction:
Romney-270
Obama-268
Swing states for Obama: Ohio, Virginia
Swing states for Romney: NC, Florida, NH, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado
In cases that close where Romney wins, I predict the Democrats will go to court and we will have multiple Florida 2000's all at once. I also predict the chance for mass rioting in that case will be very very high.
I agree with you. I was just thinking the other night that, given the fever pitch the American left has whipped itself into the last four years, its perception of itself as in ascendency, and the still simmering cult of personality that surrounds Obama, the possibility of a repeat of the late sixties is actually a fair one.
Re: Electoral Predictions
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 4:50 am
by _Droopy
EAllusion wrote:If the election swings to Romney because a very narrow margin of victory in any state or combination of states that have Republican pushed voter suppression policies in place (Colorado and Florida coming first to mind) Democrats are going to go apopletic. I think BSCspace would be right to predict a potentially serious legal fight depending on how close the margin is.
Can a myth also be a lie at the same time? Yup, and E just demonstrated the ease with which the two can be combined into a single knee-slapping spurt of vacuous mendacity (the idea of Republican voter suppression is, of course, a pure fabrication. As the vast bulk of known election fraud has, and continues to be, centered among Democrats and there allies, there's a bit or irony to contend with here as well).