Doctor CamNC4Me wrote: ↑Tue Jun 28, 2022 1:35 am
What percentage of oil wells, leased to or owned by American companies on American land, are in full production?
- Doc
I don't know. I would guess it is greater than zero and less than 100. And what difference does that make? We are not comparable to OPEC when it comes to ramping up and ramping down. You can see this in the graphs in the last release of data.
https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/wells/ This will be updated in December.
Production has more to do with rig count than anything else. Offshore rigs are being scrapped all across the globe. New rigs are not being built. That is largely a function of capital budgets, lease availability and lease expirations. Obviously, infrastructure, including transportation and refining, are huge factors in the production. Cancelling and threatening to cancel leases and infrastructure jobs will curb production. That is the point. These cancellations do not curb demand, they reduce supply. Again, that is the intent of the cancelled/prohibited infrastructure.
If a producing well is not at production capacity, but shipping and refining are limited, it is at effective capacity. Additionally, when a company knows that leases will not be available or they could be cancelled entirely, they will not produce their existing leases to zero and put themselves out of business. These are generalizations, obviously. It is not a generalization to say that the oilfield services (drilling, transportation, fluids, proppants, seismic, BOP's and more) are capital intensive and labor intensive and cannot be ramped up by flipping a switch or making an executive order. That is why the shot across the bow and immediate cancellations were so relevant and why the consequences were so obvious.