Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

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_marg
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _marg »

I have a question -- and after it is answered I'll bow out of the
discussion (since I really have nothing to add to its content).

Scenario:

A Mormon and a Gentile are arguing over Joseph Smith, Jr.'s
1837 trial in the case of the alleged murder plot against Mr.
Grandison Newell.

The Mormon theorizes: "President Smith was falsely accused."

The Gentile theorizes: "The case against Smith was solid, and
he was wrongfully acquitted."

After considerable discussion, in which the Mormon attempts
to refute the anti-Smith historical evidence point-by-point,
the Gentile responds with new assertions:

"The case against Smith was solid, and it was dropped by the
prosecution for wrongful reasons."

In making this adjustment, the Gentile introduces court records,
showing that there was no formal acquittal issued by the court,
and that the prosecuting attorney had merely dropped charges
after his star witness did not appear for testimony. The Gentile
also cites a letter written by that same prosecutor, documenting
the fact that he had received what amounted to a bribe, in
exchange for his not conducting a search for the missing witness.

The Mormon responds -- "You cannot introduce ad hoc arguments.
There was nothing in your original theory about charges having
been dropped -- and nothing about any prosecutor's confession."

Is the Mormon's response and characterization valid?


If one adds evidence to an issue then that is not fallacious reasoning, in any sense. It doesn’t matter if it’s after an issue that may have been decided upon based upon the current known information up to a point in time previously.

Ad hoc fallacious reasoning, is not about adding new information or evidence. It’s about changing the explanation for a claim when a counter with adverse evidence is presented. So by changing the explanation, new evidence isn’t presented but rather an explanation is given so as to do away with the adverse evidence. And when it's fallacious there are no warrants for the changed explanation other than it suits the particular purpose of being able to disregard the adverse evidence. In that sense the ad hoc explanation is an irrational explanation, because there is no evidence and warrants for it other than it enables one to disregard the adverse counter evidence.

by the way, that’s too bad you intend to bow out, but I understand.

in my opinion the problem with the Smith alone advocates is that they do not critically evaluate the evidence well. So to argue against the Smith alone theorists requires addressing their reasoning.

by the way I've ordered 2 books to help me with this discussion. One is about historical methodology and the other is about fallacies historians make. I get those Wednesday, but then I'm going away for 4 days...but I do intend to eventually address all the points in Dan's posts.
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _GlennThigpen »

Uncle Dale wrote:
marg wrote:...
So I’ll be interested to see if we can resolve this one issue or not.


I have a question -- and after it is answered I'll bow out of the
discussion (since I really have nothing to add to its content).

Scenario:

A Mormon and a Gentile are arguing over Joseph Smith, Jr.'s
1837 trial in the case of the alleged murder plot against Mr.
Grandison Newell.

The Mormon theorizes: "President Smith was falsely accused."

The Gentile theorizes: "The case against Smith was solid, and
he was wrongfully acquitted."

After considerable discussion, in which the Mormon attempts
to refute the anti-Smith historical evidence point-by-point,
the Gentile responds with new assertions:

"The case against Smith was solid, and it was dropped by the
prosecution for wrongful reasons."

In making this adjustment, the Gentile introduces court records,
showing that there was no formal acquittal issued by the court,
and that the prosecuting attorney had merely dropped charges
after his star witness did not appear for testimony. The Gentile
also cites a letter written by that same prosecutor, documenting
the fact that he had received what amounted to a bribe, in
exchange for his not conducting a search for the missing witness.

The Mormon responds -- "You cannot introduce ad hoc arguments.
There was nothing in your original theory about charges having
been dropped -- and nothing about any prosecutor's confession."

Is the Mormon's response and characterization valid?

Uncle Dale


If that scenario actually happened, the Mormon's response is not valid. The new argument would not be ad hoc because it would be in respect to the additional evidence and not just an unverifiable response to the evidence that had been previously submitted.


Glenn
In order to give character to their lies, they dress them up with a great deal of piety; for a pious lie, you know, has a good deal more influence with an ignorant people than a profane one. Hence their lies came signed by the pious wife of a pious deceased priest. Sidney Rigdon QW J8-39
_marg
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _marg »

GlennThigpen wrote:
In that scenario, the Mormon's response is not valid. The new argument would not be ad hoc because it would be in respect to the additional evidence and not just an unverifiable response to the evidence that had been previously submitted.




With respect to the part I underlined..I notice that you specify that an ad hoc response is one which is "unverifiable". What about the counter claim evidence to which the ad hoc is trying to overcome...do you think that must be verifiable?
_GlennThigpen
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _GlennThigpen »

marg wrote:
GlennThigpen wrote:
In that scenario, the Mormon's response is not valid. The new argument would not be ad hoc because it would be in respect to the additional evidence and not just an unverifiable response to the evidence that had been previously submitted.




With respect to the part I underlined..I notice that you specify that an ad hoc response is one which is "unverifiable". What about the counter claim evidence to which the ad hoc is trying to overcome...do you think that must be verifiable?



The counterclaim must be presented with some type of evidence. There was a trial in 1837 which ended with Joseph Smith being acquitted due to lack of evidence. There are historical accounts attesting to that fact. That is the prima facie evidence that an LDS will point to. The historical record can be verified by various eyewitness accounts.
Dale's supposedly hypothetical scenario would have produced a court record indicating that the reason for the lack of evidence was because of a no show witness and a prosceutor that was influenced not to seek the witness very earnestly. Such evidence would need to be supplied. Without it, the conclusion or explanation by the non LDS would be ad hoc. This is according to the information I have gleaned.

Glenn
In order to give character to their lies, they dress them up with a great deal of piety; for a pious lie, you know, has a good deal more influence with an ignorant people than a profane one. Hence their lies came signed by the pious wife of a pious deceased priest. Sidney Rigdon QW J8-39
_marg
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _marg »

GlennThigpen wrote:The counterclaim must be presented with some type of evidence.


Glenn I wasn't interested in this particular scenario. I asked if you thought a counter claim needed to have verifiable evidence. I don't know what "some type of evidence" means. You had mentioned that the reason for an ad hoc fallacy is because the response to a counter claim didn't offer verifiable evidence...so shouldn't the counter claim have the same standard applied of also having to have verifiable evidence?

You (and Dan) have argued that myself and/or the S/R side have presented ad hoc fallacies.

Could you illustrate one for me. It seems to me "lost tribes" was one you said I presented as an ad hoc fallacious response..but choose whichever one comes to mind for you. Please present it as

1) the S/R claim (or mine)
2) the counter claim
3) the S/R (or mine) ad hoc (fallacious) response

And then we can discuss this, for illustrative purposes, on what an ad hoc fallacy should look like.
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _GlennThigpen »

marg wrote:Glenn I wasn't interested in this particular scenario. I asked if you thought a counter claim needed to have verifiable evidence. I don't know what "some type of evidence" means. You had mentioned that the reason for an ad hoc fallacy is because the response to a counter claim didn't offer verifiable evidence...so shouldn't the counter claim have the same standard applied of also having to have verifiable evidence?

You (and Dan) have argued that myself and/or the S/R side have presented ad hoc fallacies.

Could you illustrate one for me. It seems to me "lost tribes" was one you said I presented as an ad hoc fallacious response..but choose whichever one comes to mind for you. Please present it as

1) the S/R claim (or mine)
2) the counter claim
3) the S/R (or mine) ad hoc (fallacious) response

And then we can discuss this, for illustrative purposes, on what an ad hoc fallacy should look like.


Okay, against my better judgement, I will use the lost tribes as an example. There are five witnesses who said that Solomon's story was about the lost tribes migrating to the Americas and becoming the ancestors of the American Indians. Martha Spalding said that Solomon had long held just such an opinion.
Since five witnesses mentioned the lost tribes as being the focus of Solomon's story, there is some corroboration there and it bears investigating.
I have my own ideas about what the lost tribes are about, but my ideas do not exactly coincide with the idea that the American Indians are their descendents. I went back to the literature of the time period and the statements of the witnesses themselves in order to determine what they would have most probably meant by their statements. Actually, the statements themselves were pretty clear in and of themselves, with some contradictions, i.e. having them come from Jerusalem rather than some Old World north country such as Chaldea.

Almost all of the Conneaut witnesses agreed that the Book of Mormon read almost identical to Solomon's story, except for the religious parts. Most of them said that Solomon's work contained no religious material. But the Book of Mormon contains no discernible lost tribes story, emigrating to the Americas and becoming the ancestors of the Indians.

Your response was that Solomon was a biblical skeptic, probably did not believe in the lost tribes myth anyway, and maybe wrote a variation on the theme where a descendent of Joseph, through Mannaseh, which became one of the Lost tribes, left Jerusalem for some unknown reason (it couldn't have been a warning from the Lord since Solomon's story had no religious material) and came to America and somehow became the ancestors of the American Indians.

The response is ad hoc, off the cuff. What makes it a fallacy is that you have provided no evidentiary support for your hypothesis other than the unsigned letter showing that the writer, presumably Solomon, had become a skeptic. However, that reasoning is negated by Martha Spalding's statement (among others), that
He had for many years contended that the aborigines of America were the descendants of some of the lost tribes of Israel, and this idea he carried out in the book in question.


Now, if you could find some evidence, a statement from a witness, or from Solomon's writings, that he entertained such a variant idea, your idea would not be fallacious. That is what I have been asking from you all this time. Show me something that would support you thesis. Without any supporting evidence, some type of verification required, any adverse evidence can be explained away.

I am going to offer an example.

David Whitmer left the church because he felt that Joseph was a fallen prophet. He said that an angel had told him to separate himself from the church, which he did. He never, though, disavowed his testimony of the truthfulness of the Book of Mormon, and went to his grave with that testimony.

A psooible "TBM" explanation for that is that the Lord, through and angel, told David to remove himself from the church so that he would be a more effective, a more credible witness for the Book of Mormon to people seeking to know about the Book of Mormon.


This would be completely ad hoc and a fallacy. There is no evidence for this in any form.

A similar but different take could be formulated by a skeptic. And that is that the church leaders convinced Davis to separate himself, maybe paid him to do so, in order to provide a disaffected LDS testimony that would be more readibly believed by others seeking to find out about the Church and the Book of Mormon.

That one would be just as ad hoc, just as fallacious, because there is no evidentiary support to be found.

Glenn
In order to give character to their lies, they dress them up with a great deal of piety; for a pious lie, you know, has a good deal more influence with an ignorant people than a profane one. Hence their lies came signed by the pious wife of a pious deceased priest. Sidney Rigdon QW J8-39
_marg
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _marg »

Ok so with the lost tribes, what is the initial claim.

Do you agree it's

1) Based upon Conneaut witnesses the overall consensus appears to be - Solomon's story was about American Indians which he described as being descendants of some lost tribes. The account brought the American Indian's ancestors from Jerusalem to America. Having read the Book of Mormon many of the historical passages are verbatim from Spalding, some are in part.

And what is your counter?

2) - I went back to the literature of the time period and the statements of the witnesses themselves in order to determine what they would have most probably meant by their statements.

- Almost all of the Conneaut witnesses agreed that the Book of Mormon read almost identical to Solomon's story, except for the religious parts.

- But the Book of Mormon contains no discernible lost tribes story, emigrating to the Americas and becoming the ancestors of the Indians.

Therefore - the evidence is that the 5 witnesses were confused or lying when they mentioned lost tribes?

Before going to step 3 ..is the above correct?
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _GlennThigpen »

marg wrote:Ok so with the lost tribes, what is the initial claim.

Do you agree it's

1) Based upon Conneaut witnesses the overall consensus appears to be - Solomon's story was about American Indians which he described as being descendants of some lost tribes. The account brought the American Indian's ancestors from Jerusalem to America. Having read the Book of Mormon many of the historical passages are verbatim from Spalding, some are in part.

And what is your counter?

2) - I went back to the literature of the time period and the statements of the witnesses themselves in order to determine what they would have most probably meant by their statements.

- Almost all of the Conneaut witnesses agreed that the Book of Mormon read almost identical to Solomon's story, except for the religious parts.

- But the Book of Mormon contains no discernible lost tribes story, emigrating to the Americas and becoming the ancestors of the Indians.

Therefore - the evidence is that the 5 witnesses were confused or lying when they mentioned lost tribes?

Before going to step 3 ..is the above correct?



That is essentially correct. Abner Jackson's version was more in line with the prevailing notion that he brought the tribes over via the Bering straits.

Glenn

Glenn
In order to give character to their lies, they dress them up with a great deal of piety; for a pious lie, you know, has a good deal more influence with an ignorant people than a profane one. Hence their lies came signed by the pious wife of a pious deceased priest. Sidney Rigdon QW J8-39
_marg
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _marg »

It does look like perhaps this “lost tribes” may be difficult to deal with, however I don’t mind discussing it in this thread, because we aren’t taking away from other people’s interest.

I took this from my copi intro to logic text. 11th edition p 623

Definition of ad hoc:

"A term with several meanings, used to characterize hypotheses. It may mean only that the hypothesis was constructed after the facts it purports to explain; it may mean that the hypothesis is merely descriptive. Most commonly, ad hoc is used pejoratively, describing a hypothesis that serves to explain only the facts it was invented to explain and has no other testable consequences."

When Copi and every other source I’ve read on ad hoc fallacy mention hypotheses, they are talking about explanations which offer not simply a set of descriptive facts but go beyond that and make an inductive reasoning leap or a prediction which is testable or verifiable. I’ve yet to see an example on the Net or in a book which shows ad hoc fallacy involving a situation that is simply about interpreting facts, and which has no objective testable means to verify. Even on the IEP website it’s the same thing…the hypothesis first made is open to testing and falsification.

Example:
Yolanda: If you take four of these tablets of vitamin C every day, you will never get a cold.
Juanita: I tried that last year for several months, and still got a cold.
Yolanda: Did you take the tablets every day?
Juanita: Yes.
Yolanda: Well, I’ll bet you bought some bad tablets.



That’s a different situation that what we have here in which there is no objective means to test, verify or falsify. You are saying the witnesses are confused or lying, but it’s based upon your subjective interpretation of information you’ve chosen..and I don’t believe an ad hoc fallacy can apply in that situation.

So can you prove me wrong and find some source which explains ad hoc fallacy as involving counter claims which are subjective interpretation of facts as opposed to facts testable, and open to verification?

Despite this in my opinion not being about ad hoc fallacy because there is no objective means to test and verify your counter, none the less I’ll still address the reasoning involved…because there can be faulty or poor reasoning irrespective of lack of ad hoc fallacy.

I didn’t invent what the witnesses said with regards to Solomon’s story. However you are saying that the facts and reasoning you present, indicate the witnesses were likely not telling the truth or were lying because in your opinion there is no way Solomon’s story could have had American Indian ancestors leave Jerusalem in 600 B.C. and have any connection to the lost tribes exiled in 720 B.C.


You write:

Your response was that Solomon was a biblical skeptic, probably did not believe in the lost tribes myth anyway, and maybe wrote a variation on the theme where a descendent of Joseph, through Mannaseh, which became one of the Lost tribes, left Jerusalem for some unknown reason (it couldn't have been a warning from the Lord since Solomon's story had no religious material) and came to America and somehow became the ancestors of the American Indians.

The response is ad hoc, off the cuff. What makes it a fallacy is that you have provided no evidentiary support for your hypothesis other than the unsigned letter showing that the writer, presumably Solomon, had become a skeptic. However, that reasoning is negated by Martha Spalding's statement (among others), that :

He had for many years contended that the aborigines of America were the descendants of some of the lost tribes of Israel, and this idea he carried out in the book in question.



The evidence is that Solomon Spalding was a biblical skeptic. In his own handwriting is a note or letter with MSCC, explicitly stating this fact.

http://solomonspalding.com/docs/lds1910b.htm#pg114a

Spalding“But notwithstanding I disavow any belief in the divinity of the Bible & consider it a mere human production designed to enrich & agrandize its authors & to enable them to manage the multitude.

There is nothing ad hoc fallacious, off the cuff about my mention of that evidence Glenn. So if Spalding thought the Bible was written by men and he had no belief in the divinity of the Bible…then the exiled tribes by the Assyrians in 720 B.C. out of Northern Israel he’d acknowledge, but a God sending them anywhere he’s not going to acknowledge as historically true. So for Spalding the “lost tribes” are simply that ..they are the exiled tribes in 720 B.C. reported in the Bible but not accounted for afterwards. This is not an ad hoc fallacy Glenn, there are warrants for what I’ve stated.

As far as what the witnesses understood, you are speculating what you think they should or must have understood and you are ignoring that they are relating a story written by a biblical skeptic who they had discussions with. You haven’t tried to understand from that perspective at all. Your counter is not verifiable objective evidence. What they were describing is what Spalding told them back in 1812…and Spalding did not tell them he was writing a book about the “lost tribes” rather he was writing a fictional account intended to be read as if true history explaining who the people were, buried in the local mounds and where they came from, as well as the Am. Indians. Since the Bible has an ancient tribe that’s lost as of 720 B.C. ..it’s quite conceivable for him to use that group to historically tie the moundbuilders and Am. Indians and give that explanation credibility. He doesn’t have to go back to 720 B.C. he can take it back to 600 B.C.and tie them to a few descendants of that exiled group. To present a historical account and add authenticity he only needs to tie them to a historical account accepted as factual.

You point out that the Book of Mormon has no “lost tribes” story in it. Well Spalding’s apparently didn’t either. His story was not about the “lost tribes”. The lost tribes only served as a historical focal point to tie the bloodline of the Am. Indians and the moundbuilders to. And in actual fact the Book of Mormon does tie Lehi by blood to one of the lost tribes. The fact that the Book of Mormon makes a few mentions that the lost tribes (as per the myth) live elsewhere is inconsequential. Of course a believer in a lost tribe myth would note Spalding’s moundbuilders and Indians tied by blood to the lost tribes... but up to the point of 600 B.C. and leaving Jerusalem..that it is inconsistent with the myth. And it's understandable they'd make adjustments to have it be consistent with the myth.

The Conneaut witnesses did not say the historical parts were exactly the same, they said it was the same in parts…and I take that to mean essentially the same. As I said a few mentions of lost tribes living elsewhere is not much of a change.


To sum up, my response to you is not an example of ad hoc fallacy.

- First...l your counter is subjective not open to objective verification. My counter also involves subjective interpretation of facts, but that’s simply the nature of this discussion. There are some facts and then those facts are open to interpretation to some degree. For this reason the ad hoc fallacy is not applicable.

- Second, it is inappropriate to impose a different standard of proof on my response than you do on your counter to which I'm responding.

-Third, my response included evidence and reasoning that pertained to that evidence. Nothing I said was irrational, that is without evidence and warranted reasoning. An ad hoc fallacious response is an irrational response to adverse facts in order to maintain a hypothesis, that’s not what is going on with my response.
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Re: Cont'd "ad hoc fallacy/Occam's Razor" from another thread

Post by _marg »

GlennThigpen wrote:I am going to offer an example.

David Whitmer left the church because he felt that Joseph was a fallen prophet. He said that an angel had told him to separate himself from the church, which he did. He never, though, disavowed his testimony of the truthfulness of the Book of Mormon, and went to his grave with that testimony.

A psooible "TBM" explanation for that is that the Lord, through and angel, told David to remove himself from the church so that he would be a more effective, a more credible witness for the Book of Mormon to people seeking to know about the Book of Mormon.


This would be completely ad hoc and a fallacy. There is no evidence for this in any form.


The only evidence is that D. Whitmer left the church. He stated an angel told him to..but that's not evidence of an angel or such an event happened. He went to his grave not disavowing the testimony of the truthfulness of the Book of Mormon is evidence of what he didn't say..but it's not evidence of the truth claims of the Book of Mormon.

So these are assertions, they are not hypothesis which add to the facts to explain anything and which offer a testable prediction for verification. If you think you can draw conclusions to the truth claims to the Book of Mormon based upon what Whitmer said, a sufficient burden of proof is not met by Whitmer's say so or what he didn't say.

The idea behind fallacies is to identify faulty reasoning. What faulty reasoning are you suggesting is identified? I don't see anything here Glenn. What D. Whitmer did or said is simply factual data, not an hypothesis open to verification.



A similar but different take could be formulated by a skeptic. And that is that the church leaders convinced Davis to separate himself, maybe paid him to do so, in order to provide a disaffected LDS testimony that would be more readibly believed by others seeking to find out about the Church and the Book of Mormon.

That one would be just as ad hoc, just as fallacious, because there is no evidentiary support to be found.


Where or what is the objective testable hypothesis? I don;'t know what the initial claim is or what the counter is. This is not an example of ad hoc fallacy.
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