UK General Election

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Dr. Shades
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Re: UK General Election

Post by Dr. Shades »

IWMP wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 6:42 am
Dr. Shades wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 5:51 am
It's not a wasted vote if that's who you want to win.
Voting anything other than labour or conservative is a wasted vote because they have no chance of winning.
If people voted for who they actually wanted to win, then that party would have a chance of winning, wouldn't it?

But when we get down to brass tacks, voting for a party who has a chance of winning is also a wasted vote, because your chances of affecting the election either way are statistically far, far less likely than getting into a car crash and dying on the way to the voting booth.
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Re: UK General Election

Post by Chap »

Dr. Shades wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 7:54 am
IWMP wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 6:42 am
Voting anything other than labour or conservative is a wasted vote because they have no chance of winning.
If people voted for who they actually wanted to win, then that party would have a chance of winning, wouldn't it?

But when we get down to brass tacks, voting for a party who has a chance of winning is also a wasted vote, because your chances of affecting the election either way are statistically far, far less likely than getting into a car crash and dying on the way to the voting booth.
In practice, given the British 'first past the post' system, sensible voters look at the way votes in their constituency are trending, and vote on that basis. In my own case, I want a Labour government, and to do that I need to get rid of as many Conservative MP's as possible. Thus:

(a) If Labour is likely to attract most of the votes in my constituency, I add mine to the pile to make sure they win.

(b) If Labour is running close to the Conservatives, but is in second place, I still vote for them in the hope that they may manage a winning total on the day.

(c) If Labour is running a poor third, and another party that I do not positively loath (such as the Liberal Democrats or Greens) is either likely to win with the Conservatives second, or is running a close second to Conservatives, I will give them my vote in order to do my best to avoid getting a Conservative MP.

As you can see, I regard my vote as something to deploy as part of a real world political strategy. For me, it is not an exercise in political self-expression.
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IWMP
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Re: UK General Election

Post by IWMP »

Chap wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 10:57 am
Dr. Shades wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 7:54 am

If people voted for who they actually wanted to win, then that party would have a chance of winning, wouldn't it?

But when we get down to brass tacks, voting for a party who has a chance of winning is also a wasted vote, because your chances of affecting the election either way are statistically far, far less likely than getting into a car crash and dying on the way to the voting booth.
In practice, given the British 'first past the post' system, sensible voters look at the way votes in their constituency are trending, and vote on that basis. In my own case, I want a Labour government, and to do that I need to get rid of as many Conservative MP's as possible. Thus:

(a) If Labour is likely to attract most of the votes in my constituency, I add mine to the pile to make sure they win.

(b) If Labour is running close to the Conservatives, but is in second place, I still vote for them in the hope that they may manage a winning total on the day.

(c) If Labour is running a poor third, and another party that I do not positively loath (such as the Liberal Democrats or Greens) is either likely to win with the Conservatives second, or is running a close second to Conservatives, I will give them my vote in order to do my best to avoid getting a Conservative MP.

As you can see, I regard my vote as something to deploy as part of a real world political strategy. For me, it is not an exercise in political self-expression.
That is a clever way to look at it. I live in a labour constituency and I think it has been labour for decades. so I know Labour will win here.
Last edited by IWMP on Mon Jun 17, 2024 11:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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IWMP
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Re: UK General Election

Post by IWMP »

Dr. Shades wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 7:54 am
IWMP wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 6:42 am
Voting anything other than labour or conservative is a wasted vote because they have no chance of winning.
If people voted for who they actually wanted to win, then that party would have a chance of winning, wouldn't it?

But when we get down to brass tacks, voting for a party who has a chance of winning is also a wasted vote, because your chances of affecting the election either way are statistically far, far less likely than getting into a car crash and dying on the way to the voting booth.
People can vote for a smaller party and there would be no chance they will win. The whole of the UK would have to get on board and have the same thinking but they don't. I think in time as social media manipulates people's thinking maybe. The class system that people perceived themselves to be in plays a huge role in how a lot of people vote. Middle and upper class are more likely to vote conservative. Social/working class are more likely to vote labour.
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Re: UK General Election

Post by ajax18 »

but it's been too long and our economy is shocking.
Democrats have controlled the house since 2018 based on a promise to tax the rich. It hasn't happened yet. Biden has been in power for four years and yet we still haven't raised those taxes on the rich. Do you think if Biden is elected that Democrats will actually tax their rich globalist oligarch buddies who control the uniparty? I don't see where there is any need to alienate their donors when they already have this board's vote whether they keep their campaign promise or not.
And when the Confederates saw Jackson standing fearless like a stonewall, the army of Northern Virginia took courage and drove the federal army off their land.
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Re: UK General Election

Post by Gadianton »

Democrats have controlled the house since 2018 based on a promise to tax the rich.
No, had people been that serious about taxing the rich, Bernie would have won.
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Dr. Shades
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Re: UK General Election

Post by Dr. Shades »

IWMP wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 11:30 am
People can vote for a smaller party and there would be no chance they will win.
No matter how small the party, if the majority of voters voted for it, it would win.
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Re: UK General Election

Post by Chap »

Dr. Shades wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 2:12 pm
IWMP wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 11:30 am
People can vote for a smaller party and there would be no chance they will win.
No matter how small the party, if the majority of voters voted for it, it would win.
Er, yes. We only need to have faith ... wait, are we playing under Mormon rules down here?
Maksutov:
That's the problem with this supernatural stuff, it doesn't really solve anything. It's a placeholder for ignorance.
Mayan Elephant:
Not only have I denounced the Big Lie, I have denounced the Big lie big lie.
Chap
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Re: UK General Election

Post by Chap »

On tactical voting, have a look at this website, which gives good guidance on how to get rid of Conservatives and avoid having another Conservative government, whether by electing Labour candidates or by ensuring that Conservatives do not get elected:

Here, for instance, is an entry on the Getvoting.org website, which shows how to vote in a constituency where the Labour candidate is unlikely to beat the Conservative candidate, but the Liberal Democrats only need a few more votes to win. The aim is to stop the Conservatives winning the seat on 36.53% of the vote because the anti-conservative vote is split:

https://www.getvoting.org/constituency/E14001532

Here on the other hand is a constituency where the right thing to do is to vote Labour, because they can plausibly win:

https://www.getvoting.org/constituency/E14001089
Maksutov:
That's the problem with this supernatural stuff, it doesn't really solve anything. It's a placeholder for ignorance.
Mayan Elephant:
Not only have I denounced the Big Lie, I have denounced the Big lie big lie.
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IWMP
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Re: UK General Election

Post by IWMP »

Dr. Shades wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 2:12 pm
IWMP wrote:
Mon Jun 17, 2024 11:30 am
People can vote for a smaller party and there would be no chance they will win.
No matter how small the party, if the majority of voters voted for it, it would win.
I know what you are saying. But the majority of the voters won't vote the small parties. Reform may have a chance at getting some seats but they won't get enough to win.

If you click the thing at the top right it will show you the key and how many seats each party has. The numbers are overwhelmingly far apart.

https://maproom.net/demo/election-map/0.html
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