DAN VOGEL DISCUSSES THE SPALDING/RIGDON THEORY

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_Dan Vogel
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Fallacy of Possible Proof

Post by _Dan Vogel »

My name is Arthur Vanick, I am one of the co-authors of "Who Really Wrote the Book of Mormon? - The Spalding Enigma", and I have basically just one question: have you read our book or are you basing your comments on information other than what is contained in our book? While our book certainly contains much in the way of circumstantial evidence, it also has much in the way of plain fact. I would submit at this point, that it is difficult to properly discuss the Spalding authorship claims (thanks Dale for the phrase) if one hasn't read our book, since it contains information that has never before been available in print.


Nice to cyberly meet you Art. I have not read your new edition, but I read the first edition when it first came out. I couldn't locate that copy in my personal library, so I think I may have donated it to a theological school along with some other books. I don't consider myself an expert on the Spaulding theory. I investigated it long ago, formed my opinions about it, and determined it was a dead end. I haven't bothered to pursue it any further, but spend my time in areas I think are more fruitful. But I'm willing to hear what you have to say, perhaps you'll convince me to reconsider my position. However, I must admit I'm skeptical. But others reading along might think I'm full of it and decide to read your book anyway, if they haven't already. I have read Matthew Roper's review of your book and he seemed to bring up some valid criticisms (although I think sometimes he was too minimalistic with the evidence).

I could suggest that one cannot "properly" discuss Mormonism unless one has read all that is available to read--like my books. But we here are reckless and don't mind half-assed debates. Think of it as a 30-second commercial for your book. At the very least, we will all go away knowing a little more than we did before this exchange, me included.

To say, or to infer, that only people who aren't knowledgeable about the Book of Mormon spend time studying the Spalding claims is about as fallacious as stating or inferring that only people who ARE knowledgeable about the Book of Mormon research into the Spalding claims, especially without any evidence to back it up.


I said this based on my understanding of early Mormon sources and a reconstruction of early Mormon history, which seems to exclude the Spaulding theory. I said it flourished in Joseph Smith's day among non-Mormons who could not have assessed it validity because they did not know the circumstances surrounding the production of the Book of Mormon. To those who did know the facts--such as Cowdery, Harris, Emma, the Whitmers--the theory did not make any sense and was a mere annoyance. It is my opinion and experience that many (not all) advocates of the Spaulding theory are similarly uninformed about both early Mormon history and the contents of the Book of Mormon. This also includes a lot of Mormons. And when Mormons become former Mormons, it does not necessarily mean they have gained a good understanding of their former faith. So, I did not intend for my general comments to apply to every particular circumstance--that would be a fallacy.

It has long been claimed that Sidney Rigdon was never in Pittsburgh before 1820, thus not possibly having the chance to know about Spalding's manuscript. In our book we show that Sidney Rigdon did in fact visit Pittsburgh early enough to have known Spalding and about his manuscript. The source of the information was "The Commonwealth", a Pittsburgh newspaper. Had we done as told by many, "not to waste our time on a dead issue", that important discover may never have seen the light of day. Does it prove anything? Yes, that indeed Rigdon had been in Pittsburgh, not only before 1820, but also early enough to have known Spalding and known about his manuscript. This is just one of the many new items published in our book. No, I'm not trying to sell my book on this forum, just trying to level the playing field a bit.


Long claimed by whom? Critics of the Spaulding theory? So you proved them wrong, but did you prove the Spaulding theory? I know how satisfying it can be to discover new evidence. That's what makes field work so much fun. But I somewhat agree with Roper when he states: "But while the authors must be commended for a good piece of detective work, they greatly exaggerate the implications of the find" (108). However, I also think Roper is too minimalistic in his critique of this evidence. But I would like to hear your response to his arguments that follow:

In 1879, Rebecca Eichbaum provided a statement to Spalding-theory proponent Robert Patterson Jr. Eichbaum was the daughter of John Johnston, a postmaster in Pittsburgh, and the wife of William Eichbaum, who continued to serve in that capacity after her father retired. William was postmaster from 1822 to 1833, but Rebecca assisted her father as a clerk from 1811 to 1816, before she married. There she was often involved in sorting and distributing mail. In her 1879 statement Rebecca Eichbaum said she remembered many of the people who came in to retrieve their mail. These included, she said, Robert and Joseph Patterson, J. Harrison Lambdin, Silas Engles, Sidney Rigdon, and Solomon Spalding. "I remember that there was an evident intimacy between Lambdin and Rigdon. They very often came to the office together." She said that while she did not know "what position, if any, Rigdon filled in Patterson's store or printing office," she was confident that Rigdon "was frequently, if not constantly, there for a large part of the time when I was clerk in the post-office." She said she remembered that Engles once told her, "Rigdon was always hanging around the printing-office."[275] She was describing people and events that were supposed to have taken place over sixty years earlier.

Partial support for Eichbaum's statement has been found in a list of unclaimed letters that had been held at the Pittsburgh post office for more than thirty days. Such lists were compiled and published in several newspapers. After surveying a list of such letters in the Commonwealth and Statesmen newspapers, Cowdrey, Vanick, and Davis located references to letters being held for several persons of interest, including Solomon Spalding, John Spalding, and Sidney Rigdon. Letters for Solomon Spalding are dated 30 April and 31 October 1813 and 30 June 1816, and for John and Solomon Spalding on 31 January 1815. Letters for Sidney Rigdon were dated 30 June 1816 and 31 August and 31 October 1818. Letters so dated were listed as having been unclaimed for at least thirty days at the Pittsburgh post office. This evidence gives partial support for Eichbaum's claim to have seen both Sidney Rigdon and Solomon Spalding in the Pittsburgh post office during the period from 1811 to 1816, showing that Rigdon likely did visit the post office in Pittsburgh on occasion to retrieve his mail during the same time that Spalding did the same thing. But while the authors must be commended for a good piece of detective work, they greatly exaggerate the implications of the find:

"The importance of this material cannot be overstated, for not only does it provide incontrovertible proof of Sidney Rigdon's presence in Pittsburgh well before 1821, but it places him there during the very time Solomon Spalding is known to have been involved with the Patterson brothers seeking publication of A Manuscript Found. At the same time, any question of Mrs. Eichbaum's credibility is effectively laid aside by the fact that these new revelations firmly support her 1879 statement." (p. 137)

There are problems with this reasoning. First, although the letters show that both Spalding and Rigdon had unclaimed mail at the Pittsburgh post office (which is not really that surprising since Rigdon lived only a few miles away at the time), the letters do not show that the two ever met, nor do they provide support for Eichbaum's claim that Rigdon was intimately associated with Patterson's business before 1822. Eichbaum's important claims remain unsupported. Second, although some critics of the Spalding theory may have been wrong in claiming that Rigdon never went to Pittsburgh before 1822, Rigdon himself never denied visiting the place before 1822; he only denied that he resided there before that time. The most important question with the Eichbaum statement is not whether Rigdon visited Pittsburgh, but whether he was connected with R&J Patterson prior to 1822. That has not been demonstrated.

--Matthew Roper, The Mythical "Manuscript Found", FARMS Review 17/2 (2005): 108-9.


It seems to me that you are arguing that Rigdon had opportunity to commit a crime that can't be proven has occurred. Nor can you demonstrate that Rigdon had access to a manuscript you can't prove even existed. Moreover, even if one accepts your two-MS theory, why should we assume the MS at the printing office was the hypothesized proto-BOM MS and not the Oberlin MS, or a version of it? Certainly, you must know that this new evidence only becomes significant if one allows a lot of other "ifs". I have the same reservations with Quinn's attempt to prove associations between people based on mere geographic proximity. Similar to your efforts, Quinn argues for an association between the Smiths and Vermont rod-worker Justice Winchell, partly based on letters in the Palmyra Post Office. And here we verge on the fallacy of possible proof. For those who may not know this fallacy, I offer the following:

The fallacy of the possible proof consists in an attempt to demonstrate that a factual statement is true or false by establishing the possibility of its truth or falsity. "One of the greatest fallacies of evidence," a logician has observed, "is the disposition to dwell on the actual possibility of its being false; a possibility which must exist when it is not demonstrative. Counsel can bewilder juries in this way till they almost doubt their own senses." This tactic may indeed prove to be forensically effective in an Anglo-American court of law, but it never proves a point at issue. Valid empirical proof requires not merely the establishment of possibility, but of probability. Moreover, it demands a balanced estimate of probabilities pro and con. If historians, like lawyers, must respect the doctrine of reasonable doubt, they must equally be able to recognize an unreasonable doubt when they see one.

David Hackett Fischer, Historians' Fallacies: Toward a Logic of Historical Thought (New York and Evanston: Harper and Row,1970), 53.


This is the kind of circumstantial and possible evidence that conspiracy theories thrive on. The Spaulding theory needs substance--some "plain facts" as you call them, or at least some probable (not just possible) evidence--if it is to sustain the many possible proofs and speculations.

Finally, with regard to the limited vs. hemispheric geography thing, I would suggest that this forum look at the work of Vernal Holley, which is very consistent with Spalding and which shows a very limited geography, which only makes sense, given Spalding's background and love of the local history which he fictionalized in his manuscript.


Perhaps we should. The problem as I see it is that Holley's limited geography isn't consistent with the Book of Mormon. I also think saying Holley's geography is "consistent" with Spaulding's regional history is an overstatement since there is nothing that specifically in Spaulding's writings to either confirm or disqualify Holley's geography. Holley is trying to offer a limited geography that fits the Book of Mormon on the assumption that Spaulding wrote the Book of Mormon. His geography can't be used to prove what it assumes--that would be begging the question.
Last edited by Guest on Thu Feb 08, 2007 5:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
_why me
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Post by _why me »

Uncle Dale wrote:
why me wrote:And I have the same problem with Uncle Dale's idea. I find it all unimaginable that so many people were
involved in the fraud. And the logistics of it.

Now I am not saying that your theory couldn't hold water...I am just saying that my creative and
imaginative mind has trouble to grasp your concepts and Uncle Dale's as I put them into real lived life.



We have had this discussion before, why me -- I keep saying that the Spalding Rigdon explanatuon for the
authorship of the Book of Mormon is predictive and that by following its chain of evidence we can uncover
more, hitherto uncited supporting evidence. Each time I have challenged you to join in this search to try
and uncover such new source material, you have broken off our conversation, or changed its subject.

I am not asking you to spend long hours in dusty library back-rooms, far from your home -- or even to spend
much beyond what a couple of family nights at the movies might cost. Much of this sort of research can be
done by "mail-order," and will take up less than an hour of your weeks, each month. When you have the
experience of making new "finds" yourself, of Rigdon's 1820s activities, or related matters, you will see -- I hope.

George Wilber also says that Joseph Smith, Jr. was then in the area, and that Joseph Smith also met with Rigdon.
How might we determine whether this encounter was possible (Rigdon's cabin being about 6 miles west of the Staffords)
and how might we go about locating early supporting evidence to help us determine whether it was even possible for
Joseph Smith and Sidney Rigdon to have both been in the Auburn-Bainbridge part of Geauga Co., Ohio in 1825-26 and which
members of the Stafford family (which Richard L. Bushman identifies as money-diggers) were then living in that area?
Think of the benefits, why me, if you can say that you still believe Brodie, you will not have to hear me arguing that
Sidney Rigdon was writing pseudo-scriptural rhetoric as early as 1824, nor that the Rev. Lawrence Greatrake
accused him in a pamphlet published two years later, of consorting with a crystal-gazer and confidence man in Auburn
twp., Geauga Co., Ohio. That should make your life far easier, from here on out -- fully "imaginable," no?

Dale

I know Uncle that we have had this encounter before and I have told you that the ball is in your court. I have no inclination to do the searching as you have related. That is your job. If you haven't completed this research in the many years that you have been investigating your theory, I am certainly not going to find it.

In this kind of reporting where people make comments about seeing Joseph Smith here or there are great fodder but still heresay. To prove it, one must ignite a former Mormon or a Mormon or a neutral person to do the digging. I have said to you before, that I wish you luck in your search and that if your theory is true, well...the LDS church should fall like a house of cards and I would not shed a tear. No one should live a fraud. But here we have dan, and his above posts that show no manuscript and so that means this automatic writing would have occured twice, with sidney and with Joseph. Plus, the witnesses to the event would not know that an automatic writing has occured. It is still difficult to imagine. It is not a question of who said what and when or who saw whom and when...but it is a question of getting one's hand around the idea that you and dan are circulating since you are both opposed to the other in the origins of the book itself.
_Dan Vogel
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Post by _Dan Vogel »

Uncle Dale wrote:
why me wrote:And I have the same problem with Uncle Dale's idea. I find it all unimaginable that so many people were
involved in the fraud. And the logistics of it.

Now I am not saying that your theory couldn't hold water...I am just saying that my creative and
imaginative mind has trouble to grasp your concepts and Uncle Dale's as I put them into real lived life.



We have had this discussion before, why me -- I keep saying that the Spalding Rigdon explanatuon for the
authorship of the Book of Mormon is predictive and that by following its chain of evidence we can uncover
more, hitherto uncited supporting evidence. Each time I have challenged you to join in this search to try
and uncover such new source material, you have broken off our conversation, or changed its subject.

I am not asking you to spend long hours in dusty library back-rooms, far from your home -- or even to spend
much beyond what a couple of family nights at the movies might cost. Much of this sort of research can be
done by "mail-order," and will take up less than an hour of your weeks, each month. When you have the
experience of making new "finds" yourself, of Rigdon's 1820s activities, or related matters, you will see -- I hope.

Take, for example, the early 1846 published claim of Thurlow Weed, who had previously interacted with Joseph Smith
http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/NY/miscNYSi.htm#010046 -- Mr. Weed says:
"In 1824 or 1825, he [Joseph Smith] went a vagabonding off into western Pennsylvania, where, nobody knows how,
he got possession of the manuscript of a half-deranged clergyman, with which he returned to Palmyra, where
he pretended that he was directed in a dream to a particular spot in the woods..."

How might we follow up on this potential "lead," in order to help us determine whether Weed was talking from
knowledge or from speculation? Would it not be worth our while to try and locate an earlier instance of the same
report (preferably from Weed himself) and to make attempts to compare the allegations to other reports of Joseph Smith's
early, secretive activities? If I could show you an 1830 example of the same story (or, better yet, you could find
it for yourself) in Mr. Weed's unpublished correspondence --- would that not make the "unimaginable" more real?

In the preserved record of his 1826 trial, Joseph Smith reportedly told of a westward trip he had recently taken, to the border
of PA (or beyond), to get a seer stone. http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/NY/miscNYSi.htm#010046
How might we research this allegation, in light of Mr. Weed's report?

In 1877, John P. Greene, who had operated a hotel in Batavia, NY, reported that he had encountered Joseph Smith at an early
date, and that the young fortune-teller and treasure-seeker "seemed to be thoroughly acquainted with the route
from Canandaigua to Buffalo." http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/NY ... htm#010046
How might we conduct further research to determine whether Greene ever did encounter Joseph Smith in western NY?

From the 1945 Carl M. Brewster manuscript, I have taken notes on the allegation that Joseph Smith came to Auburn twp. in
southern Geauga Co., Ohio (in company with Porter Rockwell) in about 1825 to consult with a local treasure-seeker
named Stafford, who had previously lived in Manchester twp., Ontario Co., NY.
How might we determine which members of the STafford family were actually living in that place at the time?

In an 1831 article, written from interviews conducted in and around Palmyra, NY, the traveling journalist J. G. Bennett
reported the story that treasure-seekers associated with the Mancherster Smith family had sent one of their number
westward to Ohio at an early date, to "fetch" a fellow from that state who "had much experience in money digging."
http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/NY/courier.htm#083131
How might we conduct some research to see where treasure-digging was going on in Ohio during the mid-1820s?
How might we determine whether or not members of the extended Stafford family were so engaged in Ohio?

Prof. Brewster also points out early Ohio newspaper reports, saying that Joseph Smith had come to Auburn twp., Geauga Co.,
Ohio, in search of a fellow treasure-digger (or words to that effect) and that he brought with him Porter Rockwell,
whose sister was married to one of these Staffords, and who in 1830 herself moved to Auburn. twp. I have located
one of Brewster's sources: http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/OH ... htm#120968
How might we determine if an earlier article in the same newspaper gave more information about Joseph Smith being in Auburn?

A member of an early pioneer family in Auburn, George Wilber, reportedly took a school-teaching job across the
township line in Bainbridge township, (about 4 miles to the west of his home) in 1825-26, and that he there met Rigdon:
http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/OH ... htm#031486
How might we determine whether Mr. Wilber actually taught at that school and whether Rigdon's cabin was next door?

George Wilber also says that Joseph Smith, Jr. was then in the area, and that Joseph Smith also met with Rigdon.
How might we determine whether this encounter was possible (Rigdon's cabin being about 6 miles west of the Staffords)
and how might we go about locating early supporting evidence to help us determine whether it was even possible for
Joseph Smith and Sidney Rigdon to have both been in the Auburn-Bainbridge part of Geauga Co., Ohio in 1825-26 and which
members of the Stafford family (which Richard L. Bushman identifies as money-diggers) were then living in that area?

The nursemaid for the Rigdon children, Dency Thompson Henry, reportedly witnessed what appears to have been
automatic writing in Rigdon's Bainbridge cabin: http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/NW/miscnw04.htm#090980
Her recollection evidently was that "that there was in the family what is now called a "writing medium," also several others
in adjacent places, and the Mormon Bible was written by two or three different persons by an automatic power which
they believed was inspiration direct from God."
How might we conduct research to determine if there were early reports of automatic writing going on "in adjacent places,"
such as among the Staffords in adjacent Auburn twp.? How can we verify that Miss Thompson lived with the Rigdons?

You see -- I have here presented you with a dozen possible "leads" that you yourself can attempt to follow up on. And I
assure you that there is more relevant information than I have outlined here, on events in Auburn, Bainbridge, Joseph Smith trips
to the west, the "fetching" of a treasure-seer back to Palmyra from Ohio, etc. etc. Looking on from a distance you can
say that all of these bits and pieces of history are probably phoney and that they do not at all tie together. But were you
to become involved in the search for additional historical information of this type, I think the Spalding-Rigdon-Smith
connections would become more and more "imaginable" to you with each new discovery you made.

In her 1945 Joseph Smith biography, Fawn M. Brodie asserts that Sidney Rigdon could have never confessed any involvement in
the production of the Book of Mormon, because he never lived in St. Louis. No doubt you and others have read and
accepted Brodie's words as gospel truth. But you also know that I have pointed out a witness who testifies that Rigdon
divulged exactly this sort of information to him in St. Louis, as Rigdon was on his way back to Pittsburgh, after having
been excommunicated at Nauvoo. You know that I have given contemporary Mormon published sources, saying that
Rigdon was at that very time renouncing and denouncing Mormonism in Missouri. And yet you have repeatedly said to
me that you cannot believe Rigdon ever made the confession, that he and Joseph Smith used to meet in Ohio and there worked
together on Sundays, preparing the Book of Mormon from Spalding's manuscript(s).

Here is a matter you can easily research for yourself -- and it will take little of your time or money. I challenge you
to do some follow up investigation of Mr. Jeffery and his testimony, and, if after doing that, you can sincerely say that
you believe what Fawn Brodie said was true, I will excuse you from ever having to hear of such stuff from me again:
http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/dbroadhu/PA ... htm#021384
http://solomonspalding.com/Lib/Brd1945b.htm#pg429a

Think of the benefits, why me, if you can say that you still believe Brodie, you will not have to hear me arguing that
Sidney Rigdon was writing pseudo-scriptural rhetoric as early as 1824, nor that the Rev. Lawrence Greatrake
accused him in a pamphlet published two years later, of consorting with a crystal-gazer and confidence man in Auburn
twp., Geauga Co., Ohio. That should make your life far easier, from here on out -- fully "imaginable," no?
http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/1824Scot.htm#page36a
http://www.sidneyrigdon.com/1836Grtk.htm
etc. etc. etc.

Dale


Dale, this seems like a very indirect way to present your case. Now that you have baited us, can you lay out a more direct presentation of the evidence?
_avanick
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Re: Question-Begging Speculations as Evidence for Spaulding?

Post by _avanick »

Hi Uncle Dale,
I'll put my comments afater each one of yours, okay? I hope this doesn't get too confusing.

Uncle Dale wrote:
avanick wrote:
It has long been claimed that Sidney Rigdon was never in Pittsburgh before 1820, thus not possibly having
the chance to know about Spalding's manuscript. In our book we show that Sidney Rigdon did in fact visit
Pittsburgh early enough to have known Spalding and about his manuscript. The source of the information
was "The Commonwealth", a Pittsburgh newspaper....



Art -- I find it interesting that one issue of that newspaper had printed, within a couple of inches of each other,
the names of young Sidney Rigdon and the soon-to-pass-away Solomon Spalding. Too bad you guys did not
print a photo of THAT in your book --- I would have placed it on the front cover, underlined in red ink.

Dale, we wanted to put that particular photo in the book but the publisher didn't understand the significance of it and instead replaced it with one that they thought was "more credible", being a whole page with all of the information on it. Hopefully it will appear in a second printing. If one looks at all of the available issues of The Commonwealth, one will find Rigdon's name multiple times, as well as other members of Rigdon's family, and other members of Solomon's family. Does this "prove" that Rigdon stole Spalding's manuscript? No, but it does put to the lie a claim made by some in the LDS church that Rigdon was never in Pittsburgh before a certain date. If it was no big deal, why lie about it? Why does Rigdon later go to such lengths to deny any sort of involvement with the production of the Book of Mormon?

Of course all of the Mormon argument against Rigdon being in Pittsburgh before 1822 was mostly just bluster.
B. H. Roberts certainly knew that Rigdon had been in Pittsburgh at an early age -- but Roberts used carefully worded
"lawyerese" to make it sound as though he had not.

In a Jan. 27, 1843 letter, Rigdon's Pittsburgh area relatives state that Sidney Rigdon: "RETURNED to Pittsburgh in
the winter of 1821 and '22, and took the care of the First Regular Baptist Church." This statement agrees with
the family history shared years later by Rigdon's son, John Wycliffe -- who was under the impression that his Dad
had occasionally preached in the Pittsburgh Baptist Church before he returned there to become its pastor in 1822.

I think that the Mormon writers and officials simply wanted to put up a smoke-screen, to keep investigators from
looking more closely into HOW MANY YEARS before "the winter of 1821 ands '22" Sidney Rigdon had been there.

The smoke screen worked well for many decades -- and was made even thicker when Fawn M. Brodie reported that
a very credible eye-witness in this regard could not be trusted. Thus, for many years the LDS Church has been able
to say that even Fawn Brodie and Sandra Tanner agree that Rigdon could have not been involved. That misstatement,
or others of a very similar content, has persuaded numerous non-Mormons to stop looking any further, I'm sure.

Yes, Fawn Brodie throws her own hand grenade, but offers nothing in the form of evidence to prove her allegations.

Your finding of the Rigdon/Spalding postal letter list from 1816 adds much weight to other reports, saying that Rigdon
WAS associated with a print shop in that city -- that he supplied leather book-bindings to printers there, etc. While
none of this PROVES the Spalding-Rigdon claims, your discovery helps us to know WHERE to look for possible additional
evidence. I wonder what Mormon apologists would say, if you could uncover a pre-1817 account ledger from the
Patterson publishing company of Pittsburgh, recording their purchase of some leather book-bindings, delivered to
them by a part-time tanning apprentice from what is now the southern Pittsburgh suburbs -- apprentice Sidney Rigdon?

I hope you can get one of your associates back to Pittsburgh one of these days, to search for just such evidence.

As I'm sure you know, even though our book was published a year and a half ago, the research never stopped, and if we learned anything at all from this exercise, it was that how little we knew about the Spald/Rigdon connection, and how much stronger it appeared to be after our nearly 12 years of research.

Dale R. Broadhurst


I would also like to publicly thank you for your very valuable help on our book, not to mention your contribution of the Preface to our book. We will always greatly appreciate all of your efforts!

Art
Arthur Vanick, co-author,
"Who Really Wrote the Book of Mormon? - The Spalding Enigma"
_Uncle Dale
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Post by _Uncle Dale »

Dan Vogel wrote:
Dale, this seems like a very indirect way to present your case. Now that you have baited us,
can you lay out a more direct presentation of the evidence?



What I would really, really like to accomplish, is to give why me the incentive to search out some additional
evidence on his own. It is very easy for any of us to sit back, at a distance, and to keep saying over and
over again, that we cannot believe some other person's research findings or conclusions.

But when we ourselves get into the process of uncovering new information, the experiece changes. We can
still be critical skeptics of some other person's findings and conclusions, but when we have to ask ourselves
questions and follow up on those questions, the process takes on a life of its own and changes our perspective.

I had lengthy e-mail discussions with a loyal LDS, who asserted that there was a great religious revival in
Palmyra, NY in 1820. He cited many Mormon sources in support of his contention. At last, I asked him to consult
the writings of Lucy Mack Smith and her son William, as well as contemporary reports for revivals in the Palmyra
area during the 1820s. Like our friend, why me, he was very reluctant to do this. But finally he took about 30 minutes
and did a word search through the old newspapers available on-line at Godfrey.org and located a newspaper report
of a revival in Palmyra a few years later -- he also conceded that he could find no such reports for 1820.

That fellow is still a loyal LDS -- he still believes the PGP Joseph Smith "scripture" -- but he has told me in private that the
Palmyra revival of 1824-25 was indeed a far greater occurrence than what he thought had happened in 1820, and
that he felt no desire to disput the matter with me any more, after that experience of finding evidence on his own.

This is what I hope to tempt why me into doing ----- perhaps just from the comfort of his own computer chair, doing
word-searches in old newspapers. Or, at most, by obtaining a few photocopies of old sources by mail-order.

If I supply this sort of stuff, it will never add up to anything in his "imagination." But if he has to start asking himself
questions that only he can answer for himself, the situation will change. He says to himself, "Well, if the lead supplied
by Broadhurst has any validity, then Josesph Smith cannot be documented as being in some OTHER spot at this time
and place" -- so he get up enough energy to open up volume #5 of EMD and look at the Joseph Smith chronology for 1825-26.
Seeing a large blank there, perhaps he is curious enough to consult Bushman. Reading Bushman he gets the notion
that Joseph Smith must have spent much of that unaccounted for time in Harmony, PA --- so perhaps he will then look into the
footnote material supplied by Bushman, to see what the evidence actually is. Then perhaps he will ask himself the
question, "If Smith was not in Harmony nor in Manchester then, where else do early reports say he may have been?"

It is that sort of questioning and searching which will make the "case" I have presented more real to folks like why me.
No doubt he will be able to find some points where my "case" is weak, or unsupportable, or downright misguided. He
can have the satisfaction of proving to himself, "Gee, Broadhurst really blew it on his point #4!!!!"

As for my laying out a "case," I am nowhere near that stage of reporting yet. In fact, I am working with another writer
to get two journal articles written up and published, which can form the core of a Rigdon semi-biography in about three
years from now. Without my associate's permission, I cannot divulge any sources or uncovered patterns of activity
for Rigdon, Smith, Cowdery, etc. -- (until after those papers are published).

I have provided why me with a tiny fragment of a larger picture ---- just enough so he can determine for himself
whether or not Fawn M. Brodie was correct, when she asserted that Rigdon could not have confessed to have worked
with Smith, in Ohio, on Sundays, to produce the Book of Mormon.

I live up to my promises -- and when I promised why me that I would henceforth spare him all of my arguments on this
subject, I was being fully sincere. All he has to do is to say that he accepts Brodie's conclusion over my own "case"
and that he has come to that conclusion AFTER having spent at least 30 minutes conducting his own research.

We can get into a re-hash of "details" I have already provided on-line at the FAIR/MaD message board, in due time.

Dale
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Post by _Dan Vogel »

Why Me,

Actually, if you read Dan in context, he said that one must reach a conclusion: that Joseph Smith did write it. But of course there are other conclusions to make. And I did write the LDS version 'could' be true. All alternatives need to be considered since the other two claims can also be false. And of course the other sources can be god. All premises need to come into the picture in order to reach a good debate that will probably reach a non-conclusion. One can not argue two premises that may be false and reach a true conclusion. All must be considered.


What I meant (mostly) was--JS dictated it out of his brain. For the present discussion, I'm not concerned a bout whether what came out was his own or God-inspired. It's not relevant to this discussion. Perhaps start another thread if you want to discuss that aspect.

I also mentioned 'imagination'. I have tried to imagine Dan's idea and Uncle Dale's idea but my imagination just can't gets its grip around the possible conclusions of dan and dale when I put the 19th century actors involved in the picture.


While I'm responding, one last comment. Then that's it for me.

You should never make your inabilities or lack of imagination an argument for why someone else could not do something. Can you get your head around Mozart? or Einstein? How about idiot savants? Yet, I bet you could imagine yourself flying. See, I knew you could do it!

Now, lets focus on Spaulding.
_Uncle Dale
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Post by _Uncle Dale »

Dan Vogel wrote:
Now, lets focus on Spaulding.



The man himself spelled it "Spalding" in all his correspondence and legal documents -- as did Dartmouth College
in its first announcement and later references to his graduation from that institution.

However, the man's widow and their foster daughter used the "Spaulding" spelling.

Lester E. Bush, Jr. and more recent LDS "experts" like Matt Roper and Matthew B. Brown have reverted to
the original spelling.

In searching for very early sources on the fellow, I keep reminding myself to consult both possible spellings,
so that I will not overlook alternate citations of his name in those old sources and listings.

Dale
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Re: Fallacy of Possible Proof

Post by _avanick »

Hi Dan,
I think I may have sent you an email or two a few years ago, but I could be wrong. In any case, as with Dale's post, I'll put my reply after your statements.


Dan Vogel wrote:
My name is Arthur Vanick, I am one of the co-authors of "Who Really Wrote the Book of Mormon? - The Spalding Enigma", and I have basically just one question: have you read our book or are you basing your comments on information other than what is contained in our book? While our book certainly contains much in the way of circumstantial evidence, it also has much in the way of plain fact. I would submit at this point, that it is difficult to properly discuss the Spalding authorship claims (thanks Dale for the phrase) if one hasn't read our book, since it contains information that has never before been available in print.


Nice to cyberly meet you Art. I have not read your new edition, but I read the first edition when it first came out. I couldn't locate that copy in my personal library, so I think I may have donated it to a theological school along with some other books. I don't consider myself an expert on the Spaulding theory. I investigated it long ago, formed my opinions about it, and determined it was a dead end. I haven't bothered to pursue it any further, but spend my time in areas I think are more fruitful. But I'm willing to hear what you have to say, perhaps you'll convince me to reconsider my position. However, I must admit I'm skeptical. But others reading along might think I'm full of it and decide to read your book anyway, if they haven't already. I have read Matthew Roper's review of your book and he seemed to bring up some valid criticisms (although I think sometimes he was too minimalistic with the evidence).


Thanks for including me on the 1977 edition, which has turned into a bit of a collector's item, I guess, but all I did was some of the more tedious research on the first book as, well as help to procure one or more of the handwriting experts. By the way, there is a huge story just in the saga of the handwriting experts and their findings. I'll leave it alone except to say that not only did all three experts state the the unidentified scribe writing was Spalding's, one of them later on, when shown some unknown handwriting in a completely unrelated book, the Cowdery family genealogy, stated quite plainly that it was Spalding's, and then asked Wayne why Spalding's handwriting was in the Cowdery family genealogy. Any ideas?

The idea for the 2005 book was mine, and I approached Davis and Cowdrey in 1993, telling them that we needed to bring the book back before the public eye, and to answer the many questions that arose over the years. In 2005, the new book became a reality, and the only similarity between the old book and the new one, besides both of them speaking about the Spalding authorship claims, was the title. Outside of that, the two books are considerably different. There is far more evidence in the new book, in spite of what Mr. Roper, or rather he and the people who helped him, say to the contrary, even though not nearly so sensational as with the handwriting issue, which also in spite of what many have said, is far from being dead. Ever wonder why such a tight lid has been put on access to the unidentified scribe pages? Perhaps someone else someday can resolve that mystery.

I could suggest that one cannot "properly" discuss Mormonism unless one has read all that is available to read--like my books. But we here are reckless and don't mind half-assed debates. Think of it as a 30-second commercial for your book. At the very least, we will all go away knowing a little more than we did before this exchange, me included.


I wouldn't say that this is a reckless discussion or half-assed, just restricted perhaps.

To say, or to infer, that only people who aren't knowledgeable about the Book of Mormon spend time studying the Spalding claims is about as fallacious as stating or inferring that only people who ARE knowledgeable about the Book of Mormon research into the Spalding claims, especially without any evidence to back it up.


I said this based on my understanding of early Mormon sources and a reconstruction of early Mormon history, which seems to exclude the Spaulding theory. I said it flourished in Joseph Smith's day among non-Mormons who could not have assessed it validity because they did not know the circumstances surrounding the production of the Book of Mormon. To those who did know the facts--such as Cowdery, Harris, Emma, the Whitmers--the theory did not make any sense and was a mere annoyance. It is my opinion and experience that many (not all) advocates of the Spaulding theory are similarly uninformed about both early Mormon history and the contents of the Book of Mormon. This also includes a lot of Mormons. And when Mormons become former Mormons, it does not necessarily mean they have gained a good understanding of their former faith. So, I did not intend for my general comments to apply to every particular circumstance--that would be a fallacy.


My friend, here is where faith and such come into play. When people are convinced in their hearts that something is not right, they don't necessarily need to know the history or validity of every jot and tittle of something to believe it true or false, so understanding can be a relative term here. I'm also not surprised that Spalding is left out of early Mormon history, though one could suggest that Spalding is a necessity when doing a proper study of said history. Once again, our new book is quite a different animal than its predecessor and should be considered on its merits without being compared to the earlier edition.

It has long been claimed that Sidney Rigdon was never in Pittsburgh before 1820, thus not possibly having the chance to know about Spalding's manuscript. In our book we show that Sidney Rigdon did in fact visit Pittsburgh early enough to have known Spalding and about his manuscript. The source of the information was "The Commonwealth", a Pittsburgh newspaper. Had we done as told by many, "not to waste our time on a dead issue", that important discover may never have seen the light of day. Does it prove anything? Yes, that indeed Rigdon had been in Pittsburgh, not only before 1820, but also early enough to have known Spalding and known about his manuscript. This is just one of the many new items published in our book. No, I'm not trying to sell my book on this forum, just trying to level the playing field a bit.


Long claimed by whom? Critics of the Spaulding theory? So you proved them wrong, but did you prove the Spaulding theory? I know how satisfying it can be to discover new evidence. That's what makes field work so much fun. But I somewhat agree with Roper when he states: "But while the authors must be commended for a good piece of detective work, they greatly exaggerate the implications of the find" (108). However, I also think Roper is too minimalistic in his critique of this evidence. But I would like to hear your response to his arguments that follow:

In 1879, Rebecca Eichbaum provided a statement to Spalding-theory proponent Robert Patterson Jr. Eichbaum was the daughter of John Johnston, a postmaster in Pittsburgh, and the wife of William Eichbaum, who continued to serve in that capacity after her father retired. William was postmaster from 1822 to 1833, but Rebecca assisted her father as a clerk from 1811 to 1816, before she married. There she was often involved in sorting and distributing mail. In her 1879 statement Rebecca Eichbaum said she remembered many of the people who came in to retrieve their mail. These included, she said, Robert and Joseph Patterson, J. Harrison Lambdin, Silas Engles, Sidney Rigdon, and Solomon Spalding. "I remember that there was an evident intimacy between Lambdin and Rigdon. They very often came to the office together." She said that while she did not know "what position, if any, Rigdon filled in Patterson's store or printing office," she was confident that Rigdon "was frequently, if not constantly, there for a large part of the time when I was clerk in the post-office." She said she remembered that Engles once told her, "Rigdon was always hanging around the printing-office."[275] She was describing people and events that were supposed to have taken place over sixty years earlier.

Partial support for Eichbaum's statement has been found in a list of unclaimed letters that had been held at the Pittsburgh post office for more than thirty days. Such lists were compiled and published in several newspapers. After surveying a list of such letters in the Commonwealth and Statesmen newspapers, Cowdrey, Vanick, and Davis located references to letters being held for several persons of interest, including Solomon Spalding, John Spalding, and Sidney Rigdon. Letters for Solomon Spalding are dated 30 April and 31 October 1813 and 30 June 1816, and for John and Solomon Spalding on 31 January 1815. Letters for Sidney Rigdon were dated 30 June 1816 and 31 August and 31 October 1818. Letters so dated were listed as having been unclaimed for at least thirty days at the Pittsburgh post office. This evidence gives partial support for Eichbaum's claim to have seen both Sidney Rigdon and Solomon Spalding in the Pittsburgh post office during the period from 1811 to 1816, showing that Rigdon likely did visit the post office in Pittsburgh on occasion to retrieve his mail during the same time that Spalding did the same thing. But while the authors must be commended for a good piece of detective work, they greatly exaggerate the implications of the find:

"The importance of this material cannot be overstated, for not only does it provide incontrovertible proof of Sidney Rigdon's presence in Pittsburgh well before 1821, but it places him there during the very time Solomon Spalding is known to have been involved with the Patterson brothers seeking publication of A Manuscript Found. At the same time, any question of Mrs. Eichbaum's credibility is effectively laid aside by the fact that these new revelations firmly support her 1879 statement." (p. 137)

There are problems with this reasoning. First, although the letters show that both Spalding and Rigdon had unclaimed mail at the Pittsburgh post office (which is not really that surprising since Rigdon lived only a few miles away at the time), the letters do not show that the two ever met, nor do they provide support for Eichbaum's claim that Rigdon was intimately associated with Patterson's business before 1822. Eichbaum's important claims remain unsupported. Second, although some critics of the Spalding theory may have been wrong in claiming that Rigdon never went to Pittsburgh before 1822, Rigdon himself never denied visiting the place before 1822; he only denied that he resided there before that time. The most important question with the Eichbaum statement is not whether Rigdon visited Pittsburgh, but whether he was connected with R&J Patterson prior to 1822. That has not been demonstrated.

--Matthew Roper, The Mythical "Manuscript Found", FARMS Review 17/2 (2005): 108-9.


We have never made the claim that our book "proves" that Spalding wrote the basis for the Book of Mormon. What we have said, is that we are offering an equally plausible, if not more so, explanation for how the Book of Mormon really came into being. Once again, I have to strongly suggest that you read our book rather than just parse out what may appear to be good arguments made by Roper et all. Without a doubt we have amassed a mountain of circumstantial evidence in support of our claims, but at the same time, it takes more than just circumstantial evidence to "prove" something, but we have not made that claim. However, I would put this question to you: how much evidence will be enough? How much testimony will it take? how many early documents will it take to finally "prove" the case, one way or the other? Who will make that determination?

It seems to me that you are arguing that Rigdon had opportunity to commit a crime that can't be proven has occurred. Nor can you demonstrate that Rigdon had access to a manuscript you can't prove even existed.


I would submit to you that the Mormons cannot have it two different ways either. Obviously the manuscript that was found in Hawaii was Manuscript Story, not Manuscript Found, even though it was given that name later on, perhaps as wishful thinking. Yet discussions have included both names over the years. So then if there was only one manuscript, then it was/is Manuscript Story, and Manuscript Found doesn't exist, unless it is indeed the second manuscript, the one which Solomon Spalding did indeed submit to a print shop in Pittsburgh. The point of contention then becomes whether that manuscript later became the basis for the Book of Mormon.

Moreover, even if one accepts your two-MS theory, why should we assume the MS at the printing office was the hypothesized proto-BOM MS and not the Oberlin MS, or a version of it? Certainly, you must know that this new evidence only becomes significant if one allows a lot of other "ifs".


No, the only way it doesn't become significant is if the testimony of the Conneaut witnesses and others are impeached, and contrary to Brodie and those who would hide behind her book, that is simply not the case. That is why Eichbaum and others are attacked, because if their testimony is somehow impeached, it goes a long way toward destroying the Spalding claims. Once again, we discuss this in our book. Many libraries have copies of our book. While Brodie clearly has valid points in other areas, she is wrong about the Conneaut witnesses.

I have the same reservations with Quinn's attempt to prove associations between people based on mere geographic proximity. Similar to your efforts, Quinn argues for an association between the Smiths and Vermont rod-worker Justice Winchell, partly based on letters in the Palmyra Post Office. And here we verge on the fallacy of possible proof. For those who may not know this fallacy, I offer the following:

The fallacy of the possible proof consists in an attempt to demonstrate that a factual statement is true or false by establishing the possibility of its truth or falsity. "One of the greatest fallacies of evidence," a logician has observed, "is the disposition to dwell on the actual possibility of its being false; a possibility which must exist when it is not demonstrative. Counsel can bewilder juries in this way till they almost doubt their own senses." This tactic may indeed prove to be forensically effective in an Anglo-American court of law, but it never proves a point at issue. Valid empirical proof requires not merely the establishment of possibility, but of probability. Moreover, it demands a balanced estimate of probabilities pro and con. If historians, like lawyers, must respect the doctrine of reasonable doubt, they must equally be able to recognize an unreasonable doubt when they see one.

David Hackett Fischer, Historians' Fallacies: Toward a Logic of Historical Thought (New York and Evanston: Harper and Row,1970), 53.


This is the kind of circumstantial and possible evidence that conspiracy theories thrive on. The Spaulding theory needs substance--some "plain facts" as you call them, or at least some probable (not just possible) evidence--if it is to sustain the many possible proofs and speculations.

Finally, with regard to the limited vs. hemispheric geography thing, I would suggest that this forum look at the work of Vernal Holley, which is very consistent with Spalding and which shows a very limited geography, which only makes sense, given Spalding's background and love of the local history which he fictionalized in his manuscript.


Perhaps we should. The problem as I see it is that Holley's limited geography isn't consistent with the Book of Mormon. I also think saying Holley's geography is "consistent" with Spaulding's regional history is an overstatement since there is nothing that specifically in Spaulding's writings to either confirm or disqualify Holley's geography. Holley is trying to offer a limited geography that fits the Book of Mormon on the assumption that Spaulding wrote the Book of Mormon. His geography can't be used to prove what it assumes--that would be begging the question.
[/quote]

Perhaps not, but then aren't you making the assumption that Holley is wrong, based on the assumption that the Spalding authorship claims are wrong? From what I have seen of Holley's work, I find it to be another link in the ever-growing chain of evidence which may someday show that Spalding did in fact write the basis for the Book of Mormon. I do not say that he wrote the Book of Mormon, as there are clearly many parts which bear the unmistakable stamp of Sidney Rigdon and his religious views. That is a whole side topic all by itself.

Art
Arthur Vanick, co-author,
"Who Really Wrote the Book of Mormon? - The Spalding Enigma"
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Post by _beastie »

I'm so glad to see this conversation happening!

I have to admit I got derailed by a thread at MAD and have only skimmed the responses so far - I mainly wanted to see if anyone had mentioned two issues that I consider important.

I think the fact that how contemporary readers/witnesses understood the Book of Mormon is crucial, no matter who the author of it may have been. They are the ones who were imbued in the same environment Smith was. We modern readers may miss crucial links simply because we don't have full access to the background knowledge and information that the contemporary readers/witnesses had. For example, Dan has made the point that the Book of Mormon obviously had masonic themes in it, and I think the fact that many of the contemporary readers echoed those thoughts - didn't one of them call it the anti-masonic Bible (or was it the masonic Bible?) Even some believers readily made that connection. I think that is a strong argument that the author of the Book of Mormon was making a masonic connection himself. Modern readers don't get the impact of that because we don't live in the same climate, in which Morgan had just been murdered, masons were viewed as suspect, an entire political party was created opposing them, etc. For me, the fact that contemporary readers instantly "saw" the masonic connection is very convincing evidence.

Along the same lines, I consider the fact that so many contemporary readers/witnesses who lived in the spalding area immediately suspected a connection. We don't know what was in that manuscript, but THEY did. I think that is a tremendously important point. (I apologize if someone already made that point and I skimmed too quickly to see it, I am going to go back and reread each post more carefully - speaking of which, Marg - please, please use bigger type, I can't read your teeny tiny print even with my strong glasses)

Now, the secondary point I wanted to make is in regards to the Pious Fraud theory and how that works into this whole possible Rigdon connection. I do not believe that positing Rigdon as an author with a possible spalding manuscript as a framework discounts the Pious Fraud theory. I believe that Dan has made such an excellent case for the FACT - and it does seem so clear as to be a FACT to me - that Joseph's own life is mirrored in the Book of Mormon that I am forced to concede that he had to author at least part of the Book of Mormon - or add his own special tidbits along the way. But I can see this happening so easily. Shades mentioned the power struggle between Rigdon and Smith, and after having read Vanick's latest book, Van Wagoner's biography of Sidney Rigdon (who seems to dismiss the possibility of Rigdon's involvement in the creation of the Book of Mormon despite the fact that Rigdon lied about when he first heard of the book), and Dan's book, I believe Rigdon could have always viewed himself as the rightful primary leader of the new church, and may have underestimated joseph's charisma, leadership talents, and ambition. He may have been surprised to read how different "his" book was in parts, because of Joseph taking liberties and inserting himself. So I still believe the Book of Mormon is a clue to how Joseph Smith understood himself and God. In addition, the D & C still has clues that point to the same idea that God will use misleading information to make men do right, and I think Smith was likely the author of most of the D&C.

Oh yes, I also consider the previously mentioned fact that Rigdon flat out lied about when he first heard about the Book of Mormon to be important. Other members of his congregation, including Miss Snow If I recall correctly, admitted they had heard about the gold Bible long before it came out. Van Wagoner provided evidence of that, as well. So why the adamant denial that he had ever HEARD of the book before it was placed in his hands??? I find that suspicious.

I also remember reading about Joseph's astounding ability to memorize, although I can't remember which book I read it in. (Mr. Vanick's maybe?) I also can (or used to be able to in my younger years before three children rotted my brain) memorize very easily. Even when learning them in French, I polished off all the missionary discussions long before leaving the MTC and had extra time to waste when my other district members were still struggling, and probably silently hating me. I have no problem imaging someone memorizing portions of a pre-written text - no matter WHO the author was, because even if the author was Joseph, he still had four years to write the darn thing - and then impressively reciting them while his head was stuck in a hat the next day.

Now I'll go back and reread the responses more carefully. ( I should have done that before posting, but was too excited to wait)
We hate to seem like we don’t trust every nut with a story, but there’s evidence we can point to, and dance while shouting taunting phrases.

Penn & Teller

http://www.mormonmesoamerica.com
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Post by _why me »

And of course, we can ask a simple question about the people involved with the church at this time. If all was so recognizable, ie, the masons, Joseph Smith's life aspects and other 19th century tidbits, why did Joseph Smith get such a loyal membership that believed in the book as it was written and in Joseph Smith as a prophet? Were they the ignorant ones? Plus, we still have to deal with the witnesses. It is not so easy. Also, Joseph Smith according to Beastie and dan had immense talent, and yet he squandered it away on forming a new faith that only caused him hardship. Why not put such talents to creating wealth for himself and his family in peace and security? Automatic writing should have been taken on the road or put to some good use.

To put ourselves back in time, we will need to see the man, who he was, and what made him tick. Plus, we need to put ourselves in with the members who observed the man from a close reading of him. And yet, many did not see him in the Book of Mormon, nor did they sense a fraud nor a fraudalent book. Speculation is wonderful but we are still stuck with a book and incredible explanations for how it came to pass.
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