Alter Idem wrote:DonBradley wrote:BYU has for years been turning away most of its applicants. It is difficult--impossible--for me to believe that it can't now find enough students to match its previous enrollment levels. It seems most likely to me that the university has been reducing its admissions all on its own, though I have no idea why this would be happening.
Don
Don's right. If BYU's enrollment is decreasing it's because the school wants fewer students--they turn down a lot these days. The desirability of going to BYU among LDS is just as high as ever. Now though, there are some alternatives. Ricks(BYU Idaho) and UVSC are now four year schools and there is a school back in Virginia as well which is popular among LDS.
Thanks for endorsement of this, A.I.! BYU is very academically selective, and could swell its student body at any time just by lowering its admission requirements.
But the assumption among many is that statistics like this point to a rapid decline in church membership. This--like so many other hasty conclusions on church growth--is sheer wishful thinking on their part. While there certainly are statistics indicating that many LDS converts in developing nations are 'inactive' or no longer consider themselves LDS at all, the predictions that the church is about to implode are both historically and statistically uninformed. Church growth is moderately leveling off, but the church is still growing, not shrinking. And predictions of the imminent demise of Mormonism have been with us for 177 years. The church has survived much greater crises and disconfirmations than anything rearing its head now. Even the revelation that the Book of Abraham didn't match its alleged source produced only a trickle of apostasies. At the time the papyri were recovered, the church had about two million members. The number of these who left over this discovery may have been as little as a few hundred, and likely did not exceed a few thousand. There is no evidence of a significant exodus at that time--and this in the face of one of the strongest disconfirmations of LDS belief imaginable. If evidentiary revelations of this sort were going to cripple the church, they would have done it already.
Mormonism, despite what many critics may wish, is alive and doing just fine, and will likely continue to thrive for the indefinite future.
Don