Coggins7 wrote:For example, the basis of global warming is at bottom quantum mechanical. To understand the subtleties that make all the difference one must go to this level.
As Bugs Bunny said, "Quantum mechanical? So its Quantum Mechanical!"
Ya, all that supposed reading about this and you don't know that? Absorption and emission of photons generated by the sun and then reemitted by the earth is the premier quantum mechanical phenomenon. The QM structure of the various molecular orbitals is at the root of why some gases are greenhouse gases and some are not. Of course, that's only the begin of how QM plays a role.
Then the is the statistics and probability that Coggins does not know either.
Look folks, lets get real. I tell Coggins that I agree with the majority position on global warming. I do so in part because I understand how science works and recognize that it is rational for an educated observer to bet on the side of essentially all the major scientific societies.
I do not do this because political precommitments. I fully recognize the existence of exaggerators on some issues (there is always such on both sides). I formulated a 3 part statement that I have never met a scientist that disagreed with (some said it was too conservative).
I fully realize that consensus may change substantially on an outside chance. We cannot just assume that!
What is Coggins "cool rational response"? Well, he finds one or two minority opinions in a sea of consensus on the major points. Then he declares these folks to be right! All without any scientific training. Nay, he does it on the basis of his political theories!
Also, his political theories are so powerful that they allow him to conclude that because I agree with a majority on a scientific issue, and that I care about the environment, that I am a elitist Leninist ideologue who spews Dawkinseque spittle.
That's right! He concludes that I am a communist! What a political philosopher he is indeed. LOL
Please tell me that there is no one that takes him seriously.
Mark my words Tarski, in just a few more years AGW will be gone .
In a few years, you will be gone, worm food. But your grandchildren won't be. But what do you care?
Opinions about GW may change but if they change in your favor it will be the sheerest of chance. You are not basing your opinion on science or on majority expert opinion. That's irrational for a layperson.
I base my opinion tentatively and cautiously on the opinions of those who know the most in the field and in some measure on my own scientific training. That is rational.
For the record. I am not a Leninist or an ideologue. Those are lies or at best the faulty deductions of a politically fevered mind. In fact, I am barely left of center in this conservative Bible thumping country.