EAllusion wrote:It's not like we are dealing with anything even close to an unregulated, untouched market in which these problems occured, though. To pick two obvious examples that impacted how this situation played out: 1) the Fed was manipulating market interest rates as they have done for a century. In this case, it resulted in pressuring lower interest rates and therefore cheaper credit than natural market value.
I did in fact list this as one of the causes in my analysis. An interesting point that Greenspan made though, was that the Fed manipulates short-term interest rates, and when they tried to put the brakes on the situation a few years ago and raised short-term interest rates, the long-term interest rates stayed low and the yield-curve inverted. The
free-market demand for this debt caused the Fed to loose control of the interest rates.
EAllusion wrote: 2) There was a widespread belief based on implicit and explicit promises that the federal government would prevent certain institutions from failing (as it eventually did). This creates a moral hazard where businesses make riskier decisions than they otherwise would.
That was part of it, but a relatively small part. Fannie and Freddie had such a guarantee, but they were relatively conservative players. The rating agencies giving Aaa ratings to instruments based on junk was a bigger part of the problem.
EAllusion wrote: That's to say nothing of the complex regulatory scheme that was in place. Just because certain regulations are stripped or transformed and this is called "deregulation" that does not mean we're talking about anarcho-capitalism here or anything. I personally favor certain forms of regulation and argue that capitalism by its very nature incorporates certain forms of regulation (such as police enforcement of contracts), but I'm annoyed at how this financial crisis is painted as totally free markets run amok.
A huge part of the problem wasn't de-regulation per se, but rather a decision not to regulate new markets and new instruments (specifically, the credit-default swaps).
The government was a big player and isn't blameless, but nobody saw this coming.
If, in the landscape that the government provided, private institutions and people would have made decisions based in their own best-interest, this wouldn't have happened.