Water Dog wrote:I maintain that a slight D win in the house is good for GOP, it effectively guarantees Trump wins in 20. The way it's looking to me is this is playing out the same as 16. All the same divisions reinforced.
Well. If the lower chamber decides to impeach Trump I think you're probably onto something.
- Doc
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.
Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
I don't get the logic that actually impeachment is good for a President. We have a sample size of one where a president did well during an impeachment. That was Clinton. Notably, that occurred when the economy was as good as it had been for America in the past 50 years, and the impeachment itself was on dubious grounds after a very long fishing expedition. The common wisdom around that seems to be that impeachment backfired on Republicans. I'm not sure if that's even true, and if it is, it doesn't follow another impeachment would work similarly. For starters, the reasons to impeach Trump are much more firmly grounded.
Gillum is running behind Nelson. The polls did not have that outcome at all. In a poll that looked at both, Gillum consistently ran ahead of Nelson by a few points. The idea was that Gillum might drag Nelson over the finish line.
Upshot has Nelson as a slight favorite to eek out his seat while Gillum is virtually done for. That would've been a very bad bet to make before tonight.
So Democrat incumbent Heidi Heitkamp loses her seat in North Dakota. She was popular among Native Americans and the state recently passed a law making it difficult for Native Americans to vote.
The law requires voters to have a street address. How is this not a violation of a constitutional right?
Upshot currently is projecting a national Democrat House margin of +9.2. That's a straight up landslide, a wave if you will, that eclipses the Republican margin in 2010 and 1994 for comparison. That Democrats might use that to barely take the House is a giant red flag about how rigged the current system is for Republicans nationally.
Ted Cruz escapes by the skin of his teeth. Democrats lost but this is huge in terms of Texas turning purple. Cruz won by 3%, much closer than what was expected. It is the closest a Democrat has gotten to winning a Senate seat in a generation there.
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.
Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
Doctor CamNC4Me wrote:R's have PICKED UP two Senate seats. Wow.
eta: Romney wins in a total stunner. Ha.
- Doc
The median prediction was for them to pick up two seats. They're probably gonna do better than that, but that's not a shocker. This is the 2006/2012 map that is mostly Democrats, including Democrats in some fairly red states. If Clinton were President, Democrats would be getting straight murdered in the Senate right now. I think for a "Wow" you gotta get to them losing 6ish. That's plausible, but also a pretty bad night given the range of what was realistically possible going in.