What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 2020?

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_subgenius
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _subgenius »

Doctor CamNC4Me wrote:https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/06/politics/latest-house-vote-blue-wave/index.html

Latest House results confirm 2018 wasn't a blue wave. It was a blue tsunami.

40 net seats in this mid-term. Not bad!

- Doc

how about that CNN amiright? Disregard actual historical facts and results, but sells the headline anyway.
Still looks like a #bluesplash
Image

as for "not bad", i can't help but notice that after a solid 24 months of blitzkrieg-esque anti-Trump campaigning this is the best the Democrats could perform....meh.
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_EAllusion
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _EAllusion »

The Democrats surpassed 2006, so it's basically the single biggest victory of the modern party system. I think it's the biggest election victory for a minority party in the history of keeping data on it. This occurred the most incumbent friendly election environment we've seen in 20 years no less. People say Trump's awfulness does't matter, but it does. It's just not as much as you'd hope.

If we're in the middle of the recession in November of 2020, Trump is going down like Hoover and probably will seriously damage down-ballot Republicans in the process. This'll be just in time for gerrymandering.
_EAllusion
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _EAllusion »

subgenius wrote:
Doctor CamNC4Me wrote:https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/06/politics/latest-house-vote-blue-wave/index.html

Latest House results confirm 2018 wasn't a blue wave. It was a blue tsunami.

40 net seats in this mid-term. Not bad!

- Doc

how about that CNN amiright? Disregard actual historical facts and results, but sells the headline anyway.
Still looks like a #bluesplash
Image

as for "not bad", i can't help but notice that after a solid 24 months of blitzkrieg-esque anti-Trump campaigning this is the best the Democrats could perform....meh.


Land doesn't vote.
_EAllusion
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _EAllusion »

xcxd had the best data visualization of the presidential map I've ever seen:

Image

I'd like to see that, only for 2018 Congress.
_subgenius
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _subgenius »

EAllusion wrote:
Land doesn't vote.

Oh i see, only 1 exaggeration at a time on that topic and Doc got there first.
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
_EAllusion
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _EAllusion »

subgenius wrote:
Image
_SteelHead
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _SteelHead »

I expect to see Trump brought up on charges of illegal campaign finance stuff, emoluments clause violations and money laundering for sanctioned Russian businesses by June. Whether the Republican lead Senate or his fan boi base do anything is another question all together.
Last edited by Guest on Sun Dec 09, 2018 2:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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_DarkHelmet
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _DarkHelmet »

The only real negative for Democrats in the mid-terms is it appears Florida went from a swing state to a red state. However, they took back the rust belt. If the rust belt stays blue for 2020 then Trump is probably screwed. But current politics is so weird right now, who knows what will happen. Trump will likely survive to 2020 unless Mueller finally finishes his investigation and there is an absolute bombshell. It would have to be huge, because it is unlikely Republicans in the Senate will do anything unless their political survival absolutely depended on it, and even then most of them would rather go down with the ship than side with the Democrats and the liberal mainstream media.
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_MeDotOrg
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _MeDotOrg »

subgenius wrote:Image

as for "not bad", i can't help but notice that after a solid 24 months of blitzkrieg-esque anti-Trump campaigning this is the best the Democrats could perform....meh.


I love these maps that show Republicans winning the prairie dog vote. 163,387 people voted for Donald Trump in Alaska, and 345,084 people voted for Hillary Clinton in San Francisco. San Francisco is a tiny speck on the map.
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_Doctor CamNC4Me
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Re: What are the chances of Trump's political survival to 20

Post by _Doctor CamNC4Me »

subgenius wrote:Oh i see, only 1 exaggeration at a time on that topic and Doc got there first.


What did I exaggerate, exactly?

- Doc
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.

Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
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